Skip to main content

Zimbabwe Economic Reality

What is the value we create? That is  the issue to the new Zimbabwean economic reality. This question must be asked everyday, in every household and every sector of the economy. We cannot as a nation go forward without that.

By adopting the multi-currency regime in Zimbabwe we effectively removed any ability to improve our competitiveness by manipulating exchange rates. This has been the trick that African economies have been using to essentially "protect" the economy. These policies have, in my opinion, kept our countries only competitive in the primary and extractive industries. This is why when we look at GDP growth in Africa, much of our economy as a continent is dependent on FDIs (Foriegn Direct Investment) and export of raw materials.

I need to note that I am in no way against the tenets of FDI and export of Raw Materials, it must not be in the long term economic policy of a country to focus on that alone. Remember that today's FDI becomes tomorrow's dividend repatriation and today's raw material export becomes tomorrow's finished goods import. What do we learn from this? Our economies are not structurally sustainable. 

We need to look at structural reform. You cannot get much movement on the same from Policymakers in Africa because of the bungled structural adjustment programs led by the world bank in Africa during the 1990s. The programs brought immense pain to the economies while not assisting in improving the economies much. 

How we should look at structural reform in Zimbabwe is to look at the sections where we have natural competitive advantage and enhance productivity their while improving competitive advantage in other areas. For this to happen, we need to look at first solving government hindrances to the economy. Government in all its facets must no longer be a place where mediocrity is accepted but must have excellence in everything they do. To do that there must be civil service reform, corporate reform, Governance reform and finally reform of how we do business.

Whatever plan that is being put in place must not look at outside help coming in so it has to be a plan that looks to ourselves first before we look at any other option.

I know this is rather simplistic way of looking at things. There are political and personal considerations to taking a hard decisions. However, what is the alternative? Do we continue to depend on our neighbors for assistance and sustenance? What if that position changed? Rhodesia never thought South Africa would turn on it in the fight against the majority rule. We are just an election away from the regional reality changing and Zimbabwe being left in the cold. 

So to the leaders running the economy I say this... We have to start dictating the change to our economic reality before it is dictated to us. Think I am wrong? What do you think this multi-currency regime is ... it was dictated to us. We had got to a point where noone accepted the Zimbabwe dollar and went through Hyperinflation. Now we face deflation because we cannot generate enough currency to sustain the economy. well not officially!
      

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Civil Service Reform

Let me begin with this. I am not against civil service. There are many examples of excellence by civil servants working hard for the country. In many cases these civil servants work for little pay and are often not recognized for the work they do. All too often the guys excelling in very difficult circumstances are overlooked for political and/or personal reasons. However, lets be real, these guys are in the minority. At least over the last 8 years. I begin looking at civil service reform because of the size and effects on the economy. Depending on which source you believe Zimbabwe's GDP sits at between $7.3 billion to $14 billion. So if that is the case the amount of money consumed by government is anything from 30%-50% of GDP. Such a statistic is very worrying. Let me put it in a simpler understanding. If you make a dollar, government will consume between 30 to 50% of that. This does not encourage enterprise nor does it encourage investment. This is what government should...

weakening of the economies in SADC

Hi out there. I have been a little predisposed to trying to force my little business survive in what is an increasingly hostile business environment. The hostility has largely been driven by weakening economies across the SADC region. it is estimated that a number of economies will produce less than impressive GDP results this year. Zimbabwe will probably do the worst with our GDP expected to end the year at 29 billion from 31 billion in 2018 (* source Tradingeconomics.com). Looking at the indicators across the region, all is not well. In Zimbabwe what is obvious is the ones who are running the show have returned to money printing which is running at odds with the tight fiscal policy that has been alluded to by our minister of finance in his transitional stabilization programme. In actual fact the resolve of the government has been found wanting as they have seen overtures rebuffed in their diplomatic engagement drive. The leadership in Zimbabwe has largely spurned the goo...

DEALING WITH DEBT

As an entrepreneur forced into business I have learnt over a short period that our mindset has to be very different to those of others. I will over the next few weeks try to start to focus my blog in a personal way so maybe someone can learn from my experiences. It is my hope that in sharing my experiences with you I too may learn from those who are generous enough to comment with your own views. I will begin with Debt.... 1. Debt is like a drug- *Banks are the drug dealers When beginning a business, you major financing will come from within your close spheres and yourself. Cash is usually tight; and those that lend or invest will do so because of the personal relationship of the entrepreneur ( more than the business itself). As you begin to grow the business and establish a track record, the more established sources of finance will seek to finance you. Be weary of this sudden interest in your business. In Africa, most financial institutions do not tak...